[Venezuela] oil collapse unseen other than in war-torn countries

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Subject: [Venezuela] oil collapse unseen other than in war-torn countries
From: newsbeanie@dictatorshandbook.net (NewsBeanie)
Newsgroups: dictator.america
Organization: solani.org
Date: Oct 12 2018 02:05:12
Title: Tougher Than War
Author: Naky Soto
Date: Wed, 25 Jul 2018 07:48:46 -0400
Link: https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2018/07/25/tougher-than-war/

Photo: El Nacional[1]

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that Venezuelan oil
production could drop to 1,000,000 oil barrels per day[2] (bpd) in 2018 and to
700,000 bpd by the end of 2019. Lejla Villar, responsible for short-term
predictions of OPEC countries for EIA, described the combination of structural
problems that allow this projection: “Venezuela’s problems are so profound that
even the increase in crude prices can’t improve their industry’s situation.
They don’t have trained personnel, they don’t have rigs, parts, the price
increase of recent months hasn’t changed that situation,” a description she
completes with the loss of working incentives due to lack of resources; the
mass robberies in operational areas; the difficulty to transport heavy oil to
the coast, the state of ports and how this affects exports capacity and the
lack of electricity. For Villar “everything that can go wrong in the supply and
production chain, is happening and they can’t avoid it (…) We’ve never seen a
collapse in the output of an oil-producing country that hasn’t been in a
massive war, such as the collapse that’s taking place in Venezuela. Never.
We’ve never seen a tougher and faster collapse.”

Failed on Human Rights

UCAB’s Human Rights Center announced that the UN Human Rights Committee gave
Venezuela a “D” ranking[3], corresponding to the fourth out of five categories
of assessment that this organization applies to States to measure their level
of compliance with the obligations derived from the International Covenant on
Civil and Political Rights. In July 2015, this Committee reviewed Venezuela’s
periodic report, whose delegation was headed by Luisa Ortega Díaz: who told an
expert to “shut his mouth,” denied tortures and violations against judge
Afiuni, said that demonstrators were rioters and disregarded the attacks
against human rights defenders.” The Committee criticized the methods of the
then Prosecutor General and made a series of recommendations to the Venezuelan
State in terms of civil and political rights, giving Venezuela a year (which
expired on July 21, 2016) to present signs of progress. The State didn’t supply
the information despite the Committee’s reminders in December 2016 and in
November 2017. That’s why the Committee ranks Venezuela with a D, meaning
failure and the practices criticized in the periodic report, far from being
corrected, intensified.

Amazing chavismo

Interior Minister Néstor Reverol said that the Water Supply Plan in Caracas[4]
will focus on 13 parishes in Libertador municipality and four in Miranda State,
with the support of a multidisciplinary team to oversee it, inspecting water
distribution and assigning water tankers, in other words, nothing will change.
He also wrote about reviewing the Cuadrantes de Paz mission’s vertices,
strategic lines and programmed actions, as well as reviewing criminal
incidence. Perhaps inspired by these announcements, Douglas Rico, head of the
Scientific Police (CICPC) claimed that the rate of robberies and stolen
vehicles in Caracas has “considerably decreased[5]”: from 17,853 robberies in
2017, we’re down to 10,333 in 2018 and from 8,444 stolen vehicles in 2017,
5,953 cases have been reported in 2018. Sadly, he didn’t take into account the
amount of vehicles that are currently out of order due to broken or stolen
parts (batteries, tires, etc.), irreplaceable thanks to shortages and
hyperinflation.

Unifying the oppositions

“It’s time to combine the forces of protest and people’s discontent, the
intense and growing international pressure, internal dissatisfaction and rifts
in the regime and a clear and decisive political offensive that can liberate
Venezuela,” an excerpt read by Voluntad Popular leader Juan Guaidó[6] from his
party’s manifesto, emphasizing that protests “are the engine of change” and
that “the capacity to organize and mobilize the people will be the trigger that
breaks the chains,” pledging his support to all popular protests in Venezuela.
For lawmaker Guaidó, this is a moment to choose whether “to face the regime or
to submit to rules and chains,” so it’s essential to share a clear strategy to
topple the dictatorship, suggesting a great agreement for transition and
national reconstruction with all the country’s sectors including free
elections, a plural government of national unity, solutions for the
humanitarian emergency and economic reconstruction.

Abroad

* According to Labor, Immigration and Social Security Minister Magdalena
Valerio, the Spanish government will reinstate immigration policies such as
assisting Spanish citizens living abroad, including a response to stave off
“the regrettable situation” that Spanish pensioners are living in
Venezuela, since the country’s not paying them their pensions.[7]
* Colombia’s former President Álvaro Uribe surprisingly resigned this Tuesday
to his Senate seat to handle his defense in an investigation against him
carried out by the Supreme Court of Justice for bribes and procedural
fraud.
* Human Rights Watch demanded the Venezuelan government the immediate and
unconditional release of Pedro Jaime Criollo (@Aeromatero), arrested on May
10 for the “crime” of tweeting the presidential plain’s route, which is
freely available online.


Venezuela: exigimos la liberación de Pedro Jaime Criollo, quien se encuentra
detenido por los servicios de inteligencia venezolanos (Sebin) por el
“delito” de tuitear.@DrodriguezVen[8] tiene a cargo el trabajo del Sebin y
como tal tiene responsabilidad por estos graves abusos.
pic.twitter.com/5g1nBVLlHM[9]

— José Miguel Vivanco (@JMVivancoHRW) July 24, 2018[10]


* Yesterday, the Brazilian government summoned Lorena Martínez, Nicaraguan
ambassador in the country, to answer for the death of a Brazilian student
gunned down by paramilitaries in Managua. Brazilian Foreign Minister
Aloysio Nunes also called the Brazilian ambassador in Nicaragua for
consultation, to explain the death of Brazilian Rayneia Gabrielle Lima.



The Venezuelan Federation of University Professors Associations called all of
its members to a national 24-hour strike for next Thursday, July 26, for proper
wages, against hunger, in solidarity with the health sector’s fight for a new
economic model that guarantees the social rights of Venezuelans.
Caracas Chronicles is 100% reader-supported. Support independent Venezuelan
journalism by making a donation.Donate with Card[11]Donate with Crypto[12]

The post Tougher Than War[13] appeared first on Caracas Chronicles[14].

Links:
[1]: http://www.el-nacional.com/noticias/petroleo/iea-estimamos-que-produccion-venezuela-bajara-1000000-barriles_245331 (link)
[2]: http://runrun.es/nacional/355674/eia-preve-que-caida-de-la-produccion-petrolera-de-venezuela-a-700-mil-bpd-en-2019.html (link)
[3]: http://w2.ucab.edu.ve/tl_files/CDH/imagenes/Asistencia%20a%20detenidos/Venezuela%20es%20reprobada%20por%20Comite%20de%20DDHH.pdf (link)
[4]: http://vtv.mippci.gob.ve/plan-especial-de-abastecimiento-de-agua-para-gran-caracas-prioriza-13-parroquias-de-caracas-y-cuatro-de-miranda/ (link)
[5]: http://elpitazo.ml/ultimas-noticias/afirma-director-del-cicpc-indices-de-robo-y-hurtos-de-carros-disminuyeron-durante-el-primer-semestre-de-2018/ (link)
[6]: http://efectococuyo.com/politica/voluntad-popular-llama-a-la-oposicion-a-sumar-fuerzas/ (link)
[7]: http://talcualdigital.com/index.php/2018/07/24/espana-mejorara-atencion-a-pensionistas-espanoles-en-argentina-y-venezuela/?platform=hootsuite (link)
[8]: https://twitter.com/DrodriguezVen?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw (link)
[9]: https://t.co/5g1nBVLlHM (link)
[10]: https://twitter.com/JMVivancoHRW/status/1021852804481273861?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw (link)
[11]: https://donorbox.org/one-time-donation/ (link)
[12]: https://commerce.coinbase.com/checkout/9fb27fb0-4dd6-4444-b290-53425bbd910e (link)
[13]: https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2018/07/25/tougher-than-war/ (link)
[14]: https://www.caracaschronicles.com (link)


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